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Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Incident

🇺🇦 Ukraine · Assessed probability: 15%

Intensified fighting near the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant causes a coolant system failure and partial meltdown. A radioactive plume drifts over NATO member states, triggering an Article 5 debate — is nuclear fallout an "armed attack"? IAEA · Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

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Russian Nuclear UseFrozen ConflictUkrainian BreakthroughNATO Direct InvolvementEuropean Energy Weaponization

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