🌍 Climate · Assessed probability: 85%
Global average temperature exceeds 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels within the next 5 years. The WMO estimates an 80%+ probability of at least one year breaching 1.5°C by 2028. Triggers: accelerated ice melt, more extreme weather events, coral reef die-off past point of recovery, crop yield declines in tropical regions.
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