How the Iran Conflict Affects Climate Change — and Vice Versa

Iran and Climate are linked by 604 documented transmission links in the past 12 months, mostly through energy, economic, military channels. Each link below was extracted from news coverage by POLYCRISIS.WORLD and is tied to the events that evidence it. Last updated 2026-11-09.

Network of seven monitored crises; line thickness shows how many documented transmission links connect each pair, highlighting Iran ↔ ClimateGaza ↔ AI / AGI: 28 documented linksGaza ↔ AI / AGI: 28 documented linksUkraine ↔ Gaza: 38 documented linksUkraine ↔ Gaza: 38 documented linksUnited States ↔ AI / AGI: 101 documented linksUnited States ↔ AI / AGI: 101 documented linksSouth China Sea ↔ United States: 104 documented linksSouth China Sea ↔ United States: 104 documented linksUkraine ↔ United States: 114 documented linksUkraine ↔ United States: 114 documented linksGaza ↔ South China Sea: 121 documented linksGaza ↔ South China Sea: 121 documented linksUkraine ↔ South China Sea: 134 documented linksUkraine ↔ South China Sea: 134 documented linksSouth China Sea ↔ AI / AGI: 139 documented linksSouth China Sea ↔ AI / AGI: 139 documented linksGaza ↔ Climate: 150 documented linksGaza ↔ Climate: 150 documented linksIran ↔ AI / AGI: 155 documented linksIran ↔ AI / AGI: 155 documented linksClimate ↔ AI / AGI: 160 documented linksClimate ↔ AI / AGI: 160 documented linksGaza ↔ United States: 169 documented linksGaza ↔ United States: 169 documented linksIran ↔ United States: 174 documented linksIran ↔ United States: 174 documented linksSouth China Sea ↔ Climate: 199 documented linksSouth China Sea ↔ Climate: 199 documented linksUkraine ↔ AI / AGI: 231 documented linksUkraine ↔ AI / AGI: 231 documented linksUkraine ↔ Climate: 306 documented linksUkraine ↔ Climate: 306 documented linksClimate ↔ United States: 450 documented linksClimate ↔ United States: 450 documented linksIran ↔ Ukraine: 492 documented linksIran ↔ Ukraine: 492 documented linksIran ↔ Gaza: 507 documented linksIran ↔ Gaza: 507 documented linksIran ↔ Climate: 604 documented linksIran ↔ Climate: 604 documented linksIran ↔ South China Sea: 664 documented linksIran ↔ South China Sea: 664 documented linksIranIranUkraineUkraineGazaGazaSouth China SeaSouth China SeaClimateClimateUnited StatesUnited StatesAI / AGIAI / AGI

The Iran–Climate link (highlighted) within the network of seven monitored crises. Line thickness = number of documented links. Click a line to open that pair.

How the Iran Conflict affects Climate Change

POLYCRISIS.WORLD has documented 596 ways the Iran Conflict has affected Climate Change in the past 12 months. The dominant transmission channels are energy (458), economic (55), military (40); 215 of these links were rated strong.

Energy 458Economic 55Military 40Supply chain 33Diplomatic 5Environmental 3Migration 1Technology 1

How Climate Change affects the Iran Conflict

POLYCRISIS.WORLD has documented 8 ways Climate Change has affected the Iran Conflict in the past 12 months. The dominant transmission channels are economic (2), migration (2), military (2); 2 of these links were rated strong.

Economic 2Migration 2Military 2Supply chain 1Energy 1

Scenarios that link them

Scenario-level causal chains: if the first scenario happens, it raises the odds of the second. Probabilities are the latest AI assessments.

Assets exposed to both

BP BP CF CF Industries CVX Chevron DAC Danaos Corporation DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF EWW iShares MSCI Mexico ETF EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF GLEN.L Glencore GOLD Barrick Gold GSL Global Ship Lease MAERSK.B A.P. Moller-Maersk NEM Newmont Corporation SHEL Shell SLV iShares Silver Trust ETF TTE TotalEnergies UNG United States Natural Gas Fund XOM Exxon Mobil

Related

Connections are AI-extracted from monitored news coverage and may contain errors; follow the evidence links to check sources. See the methodology.

Get the weekly polycrisis briefing

One email a week: the biggest scenario-probability moves, new cross-crisis connections, and what to watch next. Free, unsubscribe anytime.