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Prolonged Siege — Indefinite Occupation

GAZA · Assessed probability: 45%

Israel maintains military control of Gaza indefinitely. No political solution. Low-intensity guerrilla warfare continues for years. Humanitarian catastrophe deepens.

Decision Tree Analysis

23 decision nodes tracked with escalation paths and probability assessments.

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Other Scenarios

Ceasefire Holds — ReconstructionRegional War — Iran Axis EscalationTwo-State Solution RevivalWest Bank ExplosionOne-State Reality — Apartheid or DemocracyHumanitarian Corridor Collapse

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Real-time scenario tracking, decision trees, event mapping, and market correlations.

Open Dashboard · API Access