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← SOUTH CHINA SEA Overview

Rare Earth Embargo

🌊 SOUTH CHINA SEA · Assessed probability: 35%

China weaponizes rare earth minerals in response to Taiwan chip export controls. F-35 production halts, EV battery supply chains collapse.

Decision Tree Analysis

32 decision nodes tracked with escalation paths and probability assessments.

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Other Scenarios

Second Thomas Shoal EscalationTaiwan ContingencyAccidental EscalationSubmarine Cable Sabotage

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Real-time scenario tracking, decision trees, event mapping, and market correlations.

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