← South China Sea Overview

Rare Earth Embargo

🌊 South China Sea · Assessed probability: 35%

China weaponizes rare earth minerals in response to Taiwan chip export controls. F-35 production halts, EV battery supply chains collapse.

Decision Tree Analysis

32 decision nodes tracked with escalation paths and probability assessments.

View full analysis in dashboard →

Other Scenarios

Second Thomas Shoal EscalationTaiwan ContingencyAccidental EscalationSubmarine Cable Sabotage

Get the full picture

Real-time scenario tracking, decision trees, event mapping, and market correlations.

Open Dashboard · API Access

Get the weekly polycrisis briefing

One email a week: the biggest scenario-probability moves, new cross-crisis connections, and what to watch next. Free, unsubscribe anytime.