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← SOUTH CHINA SEA Overview

Second Thomas Shoal Escalation

🌊 SOUTH CHINA SEA · Assessed probability: 25%

CCG-Philippine confrontation escalates to armed clash. US Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT) Article V potentially invoked.

Decision Tree Analysis

33 decision nodes tracked with escalation paths and probability assessments.

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Other Scenarios

Taiwan ContingencyAccidental EscalationSubmarine Cable SabotageRare Earth Embargo

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Real-time scenario tracking, decision trees, event mapping, and market correlations.

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